Ashok Kumar, Author at Investment Guru

Will the GOLD Rally Continue to ₹1 Lakh?

by Ashok Kumar | Apr 17, 2025 | Shares

Gold is considered one of the safest investments around the world. And during uncertainty, Economic crises, and Geopolitical tensions, it maintains its value while currencies depreciate and equity markets underperform. Having a finite supply which makes it a very valuable resource, while paper currency can be printed irrationally.

Gold futures Price on MCX has reached a high of 95,8001w, rallying over 6 percent in the past week and over 10 percent in the last 3 months, and Gold prices in the US have reached $3,341 / OZ.

WHY GOLD IS AT AN ALL-TIME HIGH?

Several reasons can be attributed to the Gold rally, as it has outperformed the major assets around the world. For the recent rally of gold, one of the primary reasons can be attributed to the recent trump tariff announcement. These announcements can lead to political instability and economic uncertainty with potential disruptions to global trade.

Gold has been rallying even before the trump announcement, and the reason for that can be attributed to Central banks around the world buying gold. The Central banks have been continuously increasing their gold reserves, with most gold being bought by Poland, and in total, the central banks have increased their reserve by 1,045 tonnes.

FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE GOLD PRICES

There are several factors that can influence gold prices, and some of the common factors are Economic factors like Inflation, Interest rates, US dollar strength, and Economic Growth and Stability. On a Geopolitical Basis, factors like Political instability and Trade wars affect gold prices. Other Factors that affect gold prices are Market sentiment, Government policies & regulation, and supply and Demand.

GOLD PERFORMACNE

Gold has outperformed Sensex in a 3-year, 10-year, and 15-year time frame. On a 15-year basis, gold has given a CAGR return of 11.50 percent compared to 10.30 percent for Sensex. On a 5-year basis, Gold has given a return of 14.40 percent compared to a 14.60 percent return of Sensex. On a 3-year time frame, gold outperformed Sensex with a 16.80 percent return and Sensex with 11.60 percent

GOLD TARGET

Generally, the target for gold is actively given by foreign brokerages and JP Morgan has given a forecast of $3,000/oz, HSBC has given a forecast of $3,015/oz, and Deutche Bank has given a forecast of $3,139 – 3700/ oz, and the target given by UBS is for $3200/oz. All these targets are for US gold Futures.

Written By Ashok Kumar

Order book 330% higher than its market cap

by Ashok Kumar | Apr 14, 2025 | Case Study

This EPC stock provides turnkey solutions for high and super high rises, housing, urban infrastructure and others. The company’s strong order book stands at 3.4 times higher than the market capitalization.

Stock Performance

With a market capitalization of Rs 3,053.36 crore, the shares of Capacite Infraprojects Ltd closed at Rs 360.90 per share, indicating a 2 percent increase compared to its previous closing price.

Company Overview

Capacite Infraprojects Ltd, specialising in EPC offers comprehensive construction services for buildings and factories across various sectors. The company has delivered projects across different building segments including residential and commercial buildings for various purposes like hospitality, healthcare and education.

Orderbook Analysis

As of December 2024, the company’s order book stands at Rs 10,047 crores. The order inflow during FY25 alone stood at Rs 1,459 crore, about half of its market capitalization. Further, in FY25, the company added Signature global (India) Limited to its growing portfolio, as its client.

Around 63 percent of the company’s order book comes from public sector projects. Project-wise, a majority (83 percent) of the order book comes from highrise projects. Notably, 51 percent of the total value belongs to residential projects.

Marquee Client Base

Capacite Infraprojects has renowned customers in both public and private sectors. In the public space, the clients include CIDCO, BSNL and Indian Oil among others. The company’s private sector clients comprise companies like Oberoi Realty, Godrej Properties, Brigade, Prestige and DLF.

Ace Investor Holding

Renowned Indian ace investor, Mukul Mahavir Agarwal holds a 6.09 percent stake or 51.5 lakh equity shares in Capacite Infraprojects Ltd as of Q3 FY25.

Financial Performance

When looking at the financial statements, the company reported a 23 percent increase in its revenue from Rs 481 crore to Rs 590 crore in Q3 FY24-25. This was accompanied by a sharp 73 percent growth in net profits from Rs 30 crore to Rs 52 crore during the same period.

Written by Ashok Kumar

World’s most valuable airline with a market cap of over ₹200,000 Cr

by Ashok Kumar | Apr 13, 2025 | Story

Before the Market Open of 9th April USA, the Market cap of the World’s biggest Airline Delta Air Lines was $23.18 Billion and Indigo’s on the closing basis of 9th April was $23.16 Billion, However, Indigo touched a Market Cap high of $23.24 Billion on Intraday Basis just before the Market Close making them World’s Most Valuable Airline for a brief period. On 11th April Indiog’s Market Cap stood at exact 2 lakh Crore.

However, with the positive newsflow of Trump’s tariff, the Stock market of the USA jumped, with the S&P 500 surging 9.50 percent and the Nasdaq composite jumping over 12 percent. The Stock of Delta Air Lines jumped over 23 percent to reach the Market cap of $28.59 billion, and Indigo fell to the 3rd place, reaching $23.28 Billion.

The top 5 Airlines based on Market Capitalization are U.S.-based Delta Air Lines, IreLand-based Ryanair, India-based InterGlobe Aviation, United Airlines Holdings, and Southwest Airlines.

About the Company

Established in 2006 and headquartered in Gurgaon, Haryana. IndiGo, operated by InterGlobe Aviation Limited, is India’s largest passenger airline, renowned for its low-cost carrier model emphasizing affordable fares, punctual flights, and a courteous, hassle-free travel experience.

IndiGo operates over 2,200 Daily flights with 90+ Domestic destinations, 40+ International destinations with over 400+ planes in their fleet, and over 700 Million Happy Customers.

Financial Highlights

The company reported a 13.66 percent YoY Increase in revenue from Rs. 19,452 Crore in Q3FY24 to Rs. 22,111 Crore in Q3FY25. On a QoQ basis, the company reported an increase of 30.29 percent in revenue from Rs. 16,970 Crore in the previous quarter.

Their Net profit saw a decrease of 18.54 percent YoY from Rs. 2,998 Crore to Rs. 2,442 Crore for the same period. On a QoQ basis, the company reported a loss of Rs.989 Crores in the previous quarter.

Written By Ashok Kumar

Navratna Stock jumps 4% after signing MOU

by Ashok Kumar | Apr 12, 2025 | Shares

Garuda Construction and Engineering IPO - Cover Image

This Navratna PSU stock is a major company in India’s transportation consultancy and engineering sector, known for its expertise in engineering and project management services, jumped 4 percent after signing a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with DP World for Logistics Infrastructure Development.

Stock Price Movement:

With a market capitalization of Rs. 10,611.73 crores, the share of Rites Limited has reached an intraday high of Rs. 224.70 per equity share, rising nearly around 4.22 percent from its previous day’s close price of Rs. 215.60. Since then, the stock has retreated and is currently trading at Rs. 220.80 per equity share.

What Happened:

RITES Limited has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with DP World to explore opportunities in developing trade, logistics, and infrastructure projects. The MoU focuses on areas like ports, logistics parks, free trade zones, and rail connectivity.

This agreement was signed in the presence of key leaders, including Sheikh Hamdan Bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Crown Prince of Dubai, and Shri Piyush Goyal, Minister of Commerce and Industry, aiming to strengthen trade and infrastructure collaboration between India and the UAE.

Recent Order:

On 29th March 2025, RITES Limited received a Letter of Award from Numaligarh Refinery Limited for the development of railway sidings at NRL Panchgram Terminal, Rangapani, and Duliajan. The turnkey project, valued at Rs. 155.50 crore (excluding GST), is to be completed within 24 months from site handover.

Order Book:

As of December 31, 2024, RITES Limited has an order book worth Rs. 7,978 crore. The largest portion comes from the turnkey segment, making up 44.8 percent, followed by consulting at 34.8 percent. Exports account for 16.5 percent, while the REMC Limited and Lease segments contribute 1.5 percent and 2.4 percent, respectively.

Recent Quarterly Results:

RITES Limited saw a decrease in revenue, which fell by 16.11 percent from Rs. 683 crore in Q3 FY24 to Rs. 576 crore in Q3 FY25. Likewise, the company’s net profit dropped by 15.50 percent, from Rs. 129 crore in Q3 FY24 to Rs. 109 crore in Q3 FY25.

Written By – Ashok Kumar

Stocks in Focus: KPIT Technologies, Tata Elxsi, and…..

by Ashok Kumar | Apr 12, 2025 | Case Study

The Indian IT sector is expected to experience a mixed performance in 2025, influenced by both positive and negative factors.

IT spending in India is projected to grow by 11.2 percent in 2025, reaching nearly $160 billion, with robust expansion expected in software and IT services. The sector stands to gain from increased investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and digital transformation initiatives.

Below is the list of information technology (IT) companies scheduled to announce their financial results for Q4 FY25:

Wipro Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 2.51 lakh crores, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 239.8 per share, increased around 1.3 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 16th April 2025.

Infosys Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 5.85 lakh crore, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 1,410.6 per share, increased around 0.5 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 17th April 2025.

Tata Elxsi Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 29,591.2 crore, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 4,751 per share, decreased around 0.1 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 17th April 2025.

Mastek Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 6,837.7 crore, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 2,210 per share, increased around 3.7 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 18th April 2025.

HCL Technologies Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 3.78 lakh crore, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 1,394.8 per share, increased around 1.04 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 22nd April 2025.

LTIMindtree Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 1.25 lakh crore, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 4,241.95 per share, increased around 3.2 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 23rd April 2025.

Cyient Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 12,714 crore, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 1,145 per share, decreased around 0.3 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 24th April 2025.

L&T Technology Services Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 43,701.8 crore, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 4,127.5 per share, increased around 1 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 24th April 2025.

Mphasis Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 41,095.4 crore, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 2,162.05 per share, increased around 2 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 24th April 2025.

Persistent Systems Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 70,833.8 crore, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 4,545 per share, increased around 3.2 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 24th April 2025.

Tech Mahindra Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 1.25 lakh crore, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 1,283.2 per share, increased around 1 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 24th April 2025.

Firstsource Solutions Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 22,387.3 crore, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 321.2 per share, increased around 3 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 28th April 2025.

KPIT Technologies Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 30,682.2 crore, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 1,119.2 per share, increased around 4 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 28th April 2025.

R.S. Software (India) Limited

With a market capitalization of Rs 166.2 crore, on Friday, the shares closed at Rs 64.35 per share, decreased around 2 percent as compared to the previous closing price. The company will announce results on 30th April 2025.